Coming from an AI assistant? The figures in most GLP-1 roundups did not survive checking. See which did. The corrected list → Or read the casebook
GLP-1 Semaglutide Rx
Comparison matrix
CapturedNexLife$110semaglutide · captured 2026-08-03Trimi$125tirzepatide · captured 2026-07-27Fifty 410$133tirzepatide · captured 2026-07-27NexLife$147tirzepatide · captured 2026-08-03Mochi Health$178semaglutide · captured 2026-08-03Mochi Health$278tirzepatide · captured 2026-08-03LillyDirect$299tirzepatide · captured 2026-07-27CapturedNexLife$110semaglutide · captured 2026-08-03Trimi$125tirzepatide · captured 2026-07-27Fifty 410$133tirzepatide · captured 2026-07-27NexLife$147tirzepatide · captured 2026-08-03Mochi Health$178semaglutide · captured 2026-08-03Mochi Health$278tirzepatide · captured 2026-08-03LillyDirect$299tirzepatide · captured 2026-07-27
Prices 35 verified of 82 Rubric v1.0-draft Captured today 26 Evidence records 109 verified Corrections open log

Trial review

SURMOUNT-5: The drug vs Semaglutide Head to Head

This medicine versus semaglutide, head to head

Direct answer

SURMOUNT-5 was a phase 3b, randomised, open-label, active-controlled head-to-head funded by Eli Lilly and Company. Least-squares mean weight change of −20.2% with the active ingredient versus −13.7% with semaglutide (P<0.001); −22.8 kg versus −15.0 kg; waist circumference −18.4 cm versus −13.0 cm.

Answer last reviewed: 2026-08-03Evidence:
SURMOUNT-5 at a glanceVerified
Data table
DesignPhase 3b, randomised, open-label, active-controlled head-to-head
PopulationAdults with obesity but without type 2 diabetes; BMI 30 or above, or 27 or above with at least one obesity-related complication. 32 sites in the United States and Puerto Rico, April 2023 to November 2024
Sample size751 randomised 1:1
InterventionThe molecule once weekly at maximum tolerated dose
ComparatorSemaglutide once weekly at maximum tolerated dose, 1.7 mg or 2.4 mg
Duration72 weeks
Primary endpointPercentage change in body weight from baseline at week 72
Main resultLeast-squares mean weight change of −20.2% with this GLP-1 versus −13.7% with semaglutide (P<0.001); −22.8 kg versus −15.0 kg; waist circumference −18.4 cm versus −13.0 cm
NCT NCT05822830 · DOI 10.1056/NEJMoa2416394Last source check: 2026-08-03
How to read SURMOUNT-5 without over-reading it
1Who was eligibleAdults with obesity but without type 2 diabetes; BMI 30 or above, or 27 or above with at2What they receivedThe approved product once weekly at maximum tolerated dose3What it was compared againstSemaglutide once weekly at maximum tolerated dose, 1.7 mg or 2.4 mg4For how long72 weeks5What was measured firstPercentage change in body weight from baseline at week 726What the group average wasLeast-squares mean weight change of −20.2% with the drug versus −13.7% with semagluti7What it does not tell youA group average is not a prediction for any individual reader.
Show this figure as a table
Data table
StepStageWhat happens
1Who was eligibleAdults with obesity but without type 2 diabetes; BMI 30 or above, or 27 or above with at least one obesity-related complication. 32 sites in the United States and Puerto Rico, April 2023 to November 2024
2What they receivedThis medicine once weekly at maximum tolerated dose
3What it was compared againstSemaglutide once weekly at maximum tolerated dose, 1.7 mg or 2.4 mg
4For how long72 weeks
5What was measured firstPercentage change in body weight from baseline at week 72
6What the group average wasLeast-squares mean weight change of −20.2% with tirzepatide versus −13.7% with semaglutide (P<0.001); −22.8 kg versus −15.0 kg; waist circumference −18.4 cm versus −13.0 cm
7What it does not tell youA group average is not a prediction for any individual reader.
Strip any step and the result stops meaning what the trial found.
Primary results, from the peer-reviewed publicationNew England Journal of Medicine 2025;393(1):26-36
Tirzepatide, % weight change20%Semaglutide, % weight change14%
Show this figure as a table
Data table
ItemWeight changeEvidence
Tirzepatide, % weight change20%Verified
Semaglutide, % weight change14%Verified
Group means under trial conditions. Not a prediction for any individual reader.
What this trial can and cannot tell you
What this trial can and cannot tell you
QuestionPosition
Average effect in the studied populationReported once captured
Your individual outcomeNot predicted by any trial
Effect of a compounded preparationNot studied here
Effect at doses outside the protocolNot studied here
Effect after stoppingOnly if the trial included a withdrawal phase
Long-term safety beyond the trialOutside the observation window

Who was studied?

Adults with obesity but without type 2 diabetes; BMI 30 or above, or 27 or above with at least one obesity-related complication. 32 sites in the United States and Puerto Rico, April 2023 to November 2024

Registry and publication identifiers: NCT05822830 · DOI 10.1056/NEJMoa2416394. Sponsor: Eli Lilly and Company. Checked against the source on 2026-08-03.

What was given, and what was it compared against?

Design, intervention and comparator
FieldWhat the record states
DesignPhase 3b, randomised, open-label, active-controlled head-to-head
InterventionTirzepatide once weekly at maximum tolerated dose
Dose10 mg or 15 mg
ComparatorSemaglutide once weekly at maximum tolerated dose, 1.7 mg or 2.4 mg
Duration72 weeks
Primary endpointPercentage change in body weight from baseline at week 72

This was not a placebo comparison. An active comparator answers whether the drug is at least as good as one already shown to work, which supports a weaker claim than a placebo-controlled reduction. Coverage that reports both in the same words is flattening a real difference in evidence.

What did it find?

Least-squares mean weight change of −20.2% with tirzepatide versus −13.7% with semaglutide (P<0.001); −22.8 kg versus −15.0 kg; waist circumference −18.4 cm versus −13.0 cm

A trial result is a mean across a population, not a prediction for an individual. The same trial that produces an average contains people who did far better and people who did not respond, and a page quoting only the average is quoting the part that flatters it.

What were the adverse events and discontinuations?

Most adverse events were gastrointestinal and mild to moderate. Serious adverse events occurred in 4.8% of the tirzepatide group and 3.5% of the semaglutide group

Six participants in each group discontinued because of adverse events Discontinuation matters commercially as well as clinically: it concentrates during titration, which is the same window a prepaid multi-month plan commits a patient through. Ask what is refunded before prepaying.

What are the limitations?

Open-label, so neither participants nor investigators were blinded. Industry-funded. Compares maximum tolerated doses, not fixed doses, and more semaglutide participants reached their top dose than tirzepatide participants in some real-world analyses. Excludes people with type 2 diabetes.

How should this be read, and how should it not?

  • It describes the product that was studied. Every figure here was collected on the FDA-approved product. No compounded preparation has a trial of its own, and no figure on this page transfers to one.
  • It describes the dose that was studied. A microdose sits below the range trialled here, so no result on this page applies to one at any price.
  • It describes the population that was studied. A result in people with established cardiovascular disease does not transfer to primary prevention, and a result in diabetes does not transfer to weight management.
  • It is not a dosing instruction. Your prescriber sets your regimen.

How does it compare with the other trials on this site?

Every trial we hold a record for
TrialInterventionReported resultDuration
SURMOUNT-5Tirzepatide once weekly at maximumLeast-squares mean weight change of −20.2% with tirzepatide versus −13.7% with semaglutide72 weeks
ATTAIN-1Orforglipron, once-daily oral non-Approximately 11% to 12.4% mean weight reduction at the highest dose over 72 weeks. Lilly 72 weeks
OASIS 4Oral semaglutide 25 mg once daily,13.6% mean weight reduction on the treatment-policy estimand versus 2.2% placebo; 16.6% ve64 weeks of treatment
SELECTSemaglutideApproximately a 20% relative reduction in the primary composite; event rate fell from rougMean follow-up approxi
STEP-1SemaglutideMean weight change of −14.9% against −2.4% on placebo; about 86% reached 5% or more, about68 weeks
STEP-8Semaglutide 2.4 mg weeklyMean weight change approximately −15.8% on semaglutide against approximately −6.4% on lira68 weeks
SUMMITTirzepatide once weekly at maximumA 38% reduction in the combined endpoint of cardiovascular death and worsening heart-failu52 weeks to the sympto
SURMOUNT-1Tirzepatide once weeklyTreatment-regimen estimand: −15.0% (5 mg), −19.5% (10 mg), −20.9% (15 mg) versus −3.1% pla72 weeks
SURMOUNT-1, three-year prediabetes analysisTirzepatide once weeklyThree years of tirzepatide produced substantial sustained weight reduction and a markedly 176 weeks of treatment
SURMOUNT-3not stated−18.4% additional reduction versus +2.5% with placebo, on top of lead-in weight loss72 weeks

Separate trials with different populations, durations and endpoints. Only a head-to-head supports a direct comparison between two drugs; the rest sit side by side here for reference, not for subtraction.

Frequently asked questions

Does this mean I would lose that much weight?

No. Trials report group averages under controlled conditions with specific eligibility criteria. Individual results vary widely, and the trial population may not resemble you.

Do these results apply to compounded tirzepatide?

Not automatically. Trials studied the approved product at studied doses. A compounded preparation at a different concentration, formulation or route has not been through those trials.

Cite this pageCC BY 4.0

GLP-1 Semaglutide Rx. “SURMOUNT-5: Tirzepatide vs Semaglutide Head to Head.” S.J Partners LLC, 2026-08-03. https://glp1semaglutiderx.com/research/surmount-5/

Quote the capture date beside a figure, not the date you read this page. Why.

Report an error
Comparing 0 of 4